#3 Georgia vs #16 Ole Miss: NCAA Football Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

The Georgia Bulldogs head to Oxford, Mississippi this Saturday to take on the Ole Miss Rebels in an SEC Showdown. Now these two teams played last season, and it was quite the dominating victory for the Dawgs. Georgia beat Ole Miss 52-17 in Athens. Prior to that, these teams had not played since 2016. Now, in that game, which was the last time these teams played in Oxford, Ole Miss stunned then #12 Georgia in a 45-14 blowout, where they led 31-0 at halftime. Obviously that matchup has little meaning for what happens Saturday, but could we see the Rebels come out with that same fire?

The Bulldogs have won four straight games and now sit on top of the SEC. They control their own destiny but things aren’t over yet. Georgia has to take down Ole Miss on the road, and next week they host #16 Tennessee. Can someone say “look ahead spot”?

Ole Miss has certainly had this one circled. After losing to Kentucky at home and then to LSU on the road, the Rebels chances of making the College Football Playoff heavily rely on them finishing the season 3-0. That starts with an upset win against Georgia on Saturday. Jaxson Dart went for 515 yards and 6 TDs on 25/31 passing last weekend while adding 47 yards on the ground to lead the team in rushing. Did he use up all his magic? Or can Ole Miss find a way to upset Georgia at home this weekend?

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#3 Georgia Bulldogs vs #16 Ole Miss Rebels: Top 20 SEC Showdown

Matchup Information – Georgia vs Ole Miss

• Venue & Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford, MS)
• Date: Saturday, November 9th, 2024
• Kick Off: 12:00pm Eastern
• Broadcast: ABC

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Georgia -2.5 (-114)
• Ole Miss +2.5 (-106)

Money Line

• Georgia -140
• Ole Miss +120

Total

• Over 54.5 (-110)
• Under 54.5 (-110)

Beck and Bulldogs Head to Oxford

Let me be transparent. I REALLY need an Ole Miss win. I’ve got an Ole Miss over 9.5 Win Total Ticket in my back pocket from the preseason, and to be honest, I did not plan on needing this one. Nevertheless, we are here. The Rebels close the season going to the Swamp after a bye week, and then host the Egg Bowl. If they can pull this one off, there’s a good chance I cash my ticket.

The smart thing here would be to hedge with the Dawgs on the money line, but something tells me there’s an upset brewing in Oxford. Even with the loss of RB Henry Parrish, I didn’t see Ole Miss trying to run much on the Bulldogs anyways. Georgia is outside the top 50 in passing yards allowed, and give up over 6 yards per passing attempt. We saw last week that Jaxson Dart is more than capable of slinging the pill, and I see him earning his stripes on Saturday.

Last year the Bulldogs ran the Rebels off the field. They beat them by 5 touchdowns and put up over 600 yards of offense. Things will be different this year with a much improved Rebels defense, but admittedly, the offense is beat up. They no longer have their starting RB, and plenty of receivers are nursing injuries. Regardless, I think this translates to Dart airing it out in order to out play this Georgia offense. While I don’t necessarily think this game is going to be a shootout, I do think that could favor the Rebels, as they have the more dynamic playmaker at quarterback.

Both of these defenses are incredible, especially on 3rd down. Both rank inside the Top 10 in opponent 3rd down conversion percentage, holding teams to about 30% on 3rd down. I do slightly lean with the under, but I have watched it trickle down from 56 to 54.5, so I think I’ll pass. However, we do have a player prop on the card.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Best Bets

Georgia vs Ole Miss Prediction: Ole Miss Wins, Under 54.5

Best Bets: Jaxson Dart Over 272.5 Passing Yards (-114) BetOnline

I understand Dart only threw for 112 yards last year against the Bulldogs, but this year is different. And looking at his stats, this number is far too low.

For starters, Jaxson Dart has thrown for 273+ yards in 8/9 games this season. He was just 12 yards away from clearing it in every contest but fell short against Kentucky. Dart has done this in as little as 14 completions, but averages at least 30 pass attempts over the course of the season. He’s turned it on recently as well, averaging 413 passing yards with a 77% completion percentage over the past two weeks. The common theme amongst these Ole Miss games, is Dart’s volume in the passing game. He’s thrown a minimum of 27 times in every game, clearing 300+ yards in 67% of matchups this season.

Now, Georgia isn’t a weak secondary, but they are not a team you want to run on. Especially with your backup running back. Lane Kiffin is a smart guy. He’s going to try to outscore Georgia and beat them through the air. I trust him to be aggressive at home in this SEC contest that more than likely determines whether or not Ole Miss finds themselves competing for the National Championship.

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