#16 Colorado vs Kansas: NCAA Football Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

Sheduer Sanders will get a taste of an NFL Stadium this Saturday as his Colorado Buffaloes travel to face the Kansas Jayhawks at Arrowhead Stadium. Both teams are highly motivated to win this contest, and we are in for a thriller.

The Buffaloes control their own destiny in their first season in the Big 12. This one loss Colorado team makes the Big 12 Championship with two wins in their remaining games, but they won’t be that easy. Colorado also likely earns a spot in the College Football Playoff if they beat whomever in the conference championship. Thus, the Buffaloes are essentially 3 tough wins away from a shot at the National Title.

As for the Jayhawks, they are probably the best 4-6 team in the country. Kansas has lost 6 games by a combined 30 points, while winning their four contests by a total of 86 points. They have pulled off two major upsets the past two weeks, lost a heartbreaker to their rivals in Manhattan, and blew out a bad Houston team over the past few weeks. Two wins would make the Jayhawks bowl eligible, and even with a disappointing season, no one could deny a six win Kansas team a bowl game.

But that all starts on Saturday with a win.

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#16 Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas Jayhawks: Sanders in Arrowhead

Matchup Information – Colorado vs Kansas

• Venue & Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
• Date: Saturday, November 23rd, 2024
• Kick Off: 3:30pm Eastern
• Broadcast: FOX

Betting Odds

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Spread

• Colorado -2.5 (-115)
• Kansas +2.5 (-105)

Money Line

• Colorado -145
• Kansas +125

Total

• Over 59.5 (-110)
• Under 59.5 (-110)

Don’t Mess With the Jayhawks

Kansas is cruising, and despite their 4-6 record and 5 straight losses to start conference play, they’ve been in every game. Can they do the impossible and take down the Buffaloes at Arrowhead?

Kansas is 50th in scoring this season, putting up just over 28 points per game. At home, that number jumps to over 33, and has been closer to 30 over the past 3 games. Colorado ranks 20th, putting up 34 points per game, and over 41 over the past 3 weeks. They’ve scored 49, 41, 34, and 34 points the past month of the season, and neither defense can slow the other down.

Colorado gives up over 22 points per game, and nearly 25 recently. The Jayhawks are 73rd in the country, allowing 27 points per contest. They are a team that is fine with playing in a shootout, they will do their best to keep up with you. Do the Buffaloes have the defense to slow down a solid offense?

They’ve struggled to take down mobile QBs, which leads me to the over and a player prop in this matchup.

#16 Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas Jayhawks Best Bets

Colorado vs Kansas Prediction: Kansas Wins, Over 59.5

Best Bets: Colorado/Kansas Over 59.5 (-105) Bovada

I think there is going to plenty of points in this game. Sure, Colorado’s defense is better than we expected, but I see the Jayhawks daring to keep up with their electric offense. I could easily see both teams ending up in the 30s as offenses should show out with good weather this weekend, and again, that is fine with both of these offensive minded squads.

Bonus Bets: Jalon Daniels Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-114) BetOnline

As for Daniels rushing yards, he averages 8 carries for 33 yards per game this season. He’s only cleared this line in 4/10 games, but he’s done so in 3 of his L4 contests. Daniels has also had 10+ carries in each of his L3 games, showing his fearless as a runner. Colorado has sacked the opposing QB 11 times the past two weeks, but the Jayhawks offensive line is 11th in the country, giving up just 1 sack per game, 0.8 at home and 0.7 over the past 3 games. They should have plenty of protection, and he’s shifty enough to escape pressure and move the chains with his legs.

But the real kicker, Colorado fails to shut down mobile QBs.

Mobile QBs Against Colorado

• Cam Miller (NDSU): 16-81-2, Long 20, Leading Rusher
• Sawyer Robertson (BAY): 9-82-1, Long 45, Leading Rusher
• KJ Jefferson (UCF): 20-76-1, Long 23
• Avery Johnson (KSU): Shut Him Down, Long 10
• Noah Fifita (AZ): 12-24, Long 24
• Brendon Sorsby (CIN): 9-48, Long 23

Now, those last two aren’t the most mobile QBs of all time, but look at the rest. Two led their team in rushing yards, four have scored TDs, and 5 of the 6 names listed had a 20+ yard rush against this Buffaloes team. With tons of focus being on Devin Neal in the rushing attack, I could see Daniels sneaking a couple long runs on some read options.

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