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Baylor vs Cincinnati: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | February 25, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Baylor edged out Cincinnati in their first meeting, but now the Bearcats have a golden opportunity for revenge on their home court. The Bears have struggled on the road, while Cincinnati has been dominant in its own gym, making this an ideal revenge spot. With Baylor’s inconsistencies and the Bearcats’ defensive strength, this matchup sets up perfectly for a Cincinnati win.
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Last Month in CBB: 36-48-1 (-14.02 Units)
Last Night: 0-2 JUST FADE ME!!!! The odds are in your favor.
Baylor vs Cincinnati Odds
Can Cincinnati get their revenge tonight in their home gym?
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Spread
Baylor: +2.5 (-110)
Cincinnati: -2.5 (-110)
Total
Over: 138.5 (-110)
Under: 138.5 (-110)
Moneyline
Baylor: +120
Cincinnati: -140
Baylor vs Cincinnati Best Bet
Nothing beats a conference revenge spot. In their previous matchup, Baylor took down Cincinnati 68-64 on January seventh as 5.5-point favorites. Now, the Bearcats return home as short favorites. Baylor has lost two straight to Colorado and Arizona, while Cincinnati is coming off a dominant 75-63 win over TCU. I am out on Baylor—none of their big wins hold much weight. Sure, the Bears beat St. John’s in a neutral setting and pulled off an insane comeback against Kansas, but they are far too inconsistent. I love the Bearcats in this spot.
Cincinnati is one of the best teams at home, ranked 43rd per Haslametrics. Meanwhile, Baylor struggles away from home, ranking second worst in that category. On the road, the Bears rank 296th in effective field goal percentage defense, 308th in three-point defense, and 284th in defensive rebounding. Their offense struggles inside, ranking 268th in two-point offense. Bart Torvik lists them as the 28th-best road offense, but they still sit at 217th in effective field goal percentage. Some of these advanced offensive numbers overrate them.
Baylor Trends
- 0-8 as underdog (SU)
- 0-7 as road underdog (SU)
- 2-8 as road team (SU)
On the other side, Cincinnati has been dominant at home defensively. The Bearcats rank 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 25th in effective field goal percentage defense, and tenth in free throw rate defense. Offensively, they are just as strong, ranked 80th in adjusted efficiency while excelling at ball security, second-chance opportunities, and scoring inside. This offense should have no problem feasting on Baylor’s weak road defense.
Cincinnati Trends
- 11-2 as home favorite (SU)
- 15-4 as favorite (SU)
- 11-4 after a win (SU)
- 11-4 as home team (SU)
Give me the Bearcats in the revenge spot!
Best Bet: Cincinnati Moneyline (-140) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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