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Baylor vs #13 Texas Tech: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | January 4, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The Big 12 delivered absolute chaos over the weekend, and two of its hottest teams are set to clash. Baylor pulled off a historic comeback against Kansas, while Texas Tech stunned Houston in Lubbock. Now, with both teams riding high off their biggest wins of the season, expect a gritty, defensive battle in this one.
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Baylor vs #13 Texas Tech Odds
Can Baylor replicate the greatness they showed on Saturday?
Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on College Basketball games.
Spread
Baylor: +7.5 (+102)
Texas Tech: -7.5 (-122)
Total
Over: 141 (-110)
Under: 141 (-110)
Moneyline
Baylor: +290
Texas Tech: -360
Baylor vs #13 Texas Tech Best Bet
Two Big 12 teams are coming off their biggest wins of the season. Baylor stormed back from 21 down to hand No. 16 Kansas their biggest blown lead in program history, taking them down 81-70 in one of the wildest games of the weekend. Meanwhile, Texas Tech pulled off a stunning 82-81 upset over No. 5 Houston as nearly ten-point underdogs. On top of that, the Red Raiders are riding a six-game winning streak. With both teams coming off massive wins, this matchup has under written all over it.
Baylor vs. Texas Tech: A Defensive Showdown
The tempo of this game is going to be as slow as the week leading up to a vacation. Both teams rank in the upper 200s and low 300s in pace. On the road, Baylor plays at the 11th slowest pace in the country. Meanwhile, Texas Tech likes to speed it up at home but still only sits at 226th in tempo.
The toll of these huge wins should lead to a sloppier offensive game, especially with both teams ranking in the top 75 in defense. At home, Texas Tech has held three of five conference opponents under 60 points this season. They have been lights out defensively and should be able to slow down a Baylor offense fresh off the win of a record setting victory.
Baylor is also the fourth-worst team away from home, per Haslametrics. Meanwhile, Texas Tech ranks 93rd best at home. In ten road games, Baylor’s offense has been mediocre—still 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency but just 205th in two-point scoring. They are also 20th worst in offensive block percentage and hitting free throws at just 69%.
As incredible as these teams were on Saturday, do not expect the same offensive fireworks tonight. Texas Tech has a massive showdown with Arizona in Tucson on Saturday. Baylor hosts UCF but cannot afford to look ahead. Expect both defenses to show up and show out. NO POINTS!
Best Bet: Game Under 141 on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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