Thunder vs Warriors NBA Predictions, Odds, Props & Picks (11/27)

The Golden State Warriors (12-5) will try to avoid a third straight loss when the Oklahoma City Thunder (13-4) come to town on Wednesday. If you’re looking to grab a slice of the Thunder vs. Warriors NBA betting action, you’ve come to the right place because this preview is your one-stop shop for the latest odds, trends, and picks.

Can Oklahoma City survive enemy territory? Or will Golden State add another tally to the win column?

Let’s explore tonight’s action by diving into my Thunder vs. Warriors predictions and best bets.

2024-25 NBA Game Predictions: 13-11-0 (54.2%)

2024-25 NBA Best Bet + Prop Record: 27-21-0 (56.3%)

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NBA Betting: Thunder vs Warriors Tonight (11/27)

Thunder vs Warriors Betting Information

• Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder (13-4, 5-2 Away) vs. Golden State Warriors (12-5, 5-2 Home)
• Venue & Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)
• Date: Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024
• Game Time: 10 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Thunder vs. Warriors: ESPN

Thunder vs Warriors NBA Betting Odds

All NBA odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, Nov. 27 at 9:11 a.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Thunder vs Warriors Spread

• Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 (-105)
• Golden State Warriors +2.5 (-115)

Warriors vs Thunder Over/Under

• Over 229.5 Points (-110)
• Under 229.5 Points (-110)

Thunder vs Warriors Moneyline

• Oklahoma City Thunder -140
• Golden State Warriors +120

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Thunder vs Warriors NBA Betting Trends

• Oklahoma City is 4-11 straight up in its last 15 games vs. Golden State.
• Golden State is 5-1 straight up in its last six home games.
• Oklahoma City is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games.
• Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
• The total hit the Under in four of Oklahoma City’s last six games.
• The total hit the Over in five of Golden State’s last six home games vs. Oklahoma City.

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Thunder vs Warriors NBA Predictions & Picks (11/27)

It’s been just over two weeks since the first Thunder vs. Warriors matchup of the 2024-25 campaign. The two teams collided at Paycom Center on Nov. 10, ending in a 127-116 victory for Golden State as Stephen Curry led the way with 36 points while shooting 7-of-13 from the three-point line. The victory helped improve the Warriors’ record to 11-4 SU across its last 15 encounters with the Thunder.

If the Warriors want to replicate history, they must find a way to improve their play after suffering back-to-back losses. The latest defeat came in the form of Monday’s 128-120 loss to the Brooklyn Nets, which is a game that saw Steve Kerr’s team blow an 18-point lead.

Meanwhile, the Thunder are gunning for their third straight victory following a 130-109 win over the Sacramento Kings two nights ago. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was difficult to contain as he led OKC in points (37) and assists (11) while Jalen Williams made his presence felt with 28 points on 62.5% shooting.

The Thunder have also proven that they can handle the Chase Center atmosphere, having won their last two road games vs. the Warriors by an average of 13 points.

Do the Thunder have what it takes to beat the Warriors for the third straight time on the road? 

Although both sides average similar offensive outputs, it’s the Warriors who have the edge on the perimeter. Golden State is averaging 15.9 threes made (4th) on 38.1% shooting while Oklahoma City averages 13.7 (13th) with a 34.9% success rate (19th). Both teams are inside the top 10 when it comes to three-point defense, though, making it interesting to see which side has more outside success.

The Warriors have the rebounding edge, too, averaging 58.1 rebounds per game (3rd), which is about eight more than the Thunder (50.5 RPG, 23rd).

Each team is dealing with its fair share of injuries tonight, though.

Thunder Injury Report

• Alex Caruso (hip) — Out
• Alex Ducas (hip) — Questionable
• Chet Holmgren (hip) — Out
• Jaylin Williams (hamstring) — Out
• Nikola Topic (knee) — Out
• Ousmane Dieng (finger) — Out

Warriors Injury Report

• De’Anthony Melton (knee) — Out
• Jonathan Kuminga (illness) — Questionable
• Stephen Curry (knees) — Questionable
• Quinten Post (thumb) — Out

While that’s a lot of banged-up players, the most important of the bunch are Kuminga and Curry — two of the Warriors’ four best scorers this season. Having said that, Golden State is 3-0 SU in the three games that Curry has missed this season.

Will Stephen Curry (knees) be healthy enough to suit up for the Warriors on Wednesday? 

Assuming that Curry pushes through to play, I like the Warriors’ chances of winning this game. They’ve already beaten the Thunder once this season and that game was on the road. Throw in the fact that OKC could be without one of its best defenders (Caruso), and there’s a decent chance that Golden State can pull off the upset tonight.

With that being said, the lengthy injury list could mean the Warriors and Thunder will take things easier tonight, which is why I like the Under on the 229.5-point total, too. It also helps that the Under is 4-2 in the Thunder’s last six games as well as 4-1 in the Warriors’ five previous outings.

Thunder vs. Warriors NBA Prediction: GSW wins

Best Thunder vs. Warriors NBA Bet: u229.5 Total Points (-110)

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Best Thunder vs Warriors NBA Player Prop (11/27)

Due to the Thunder’s inconsistent rebounding, I like Draymond Green o6.5 total rebounds (-137) as this NBA game’s best player prop bet.

Green continues to be a reliable rebounder as his 35th birthday approaches in just over four months. The former Michigan State product is averaging 7.4 rebounds in his last seven games, finishing with the Over on this prop six times during that stretch. That includes a solid 3-1 record in four games at Chase Center.

There’s a good chance that run will continue considering how the Thunder collect the eighth-fewest rebounds while surrendering the most in the Association. With the Over on this prop being 11-2 in his last 13 home games against the Thunder, Green’s in a great spot to bring the green tonight.

Best Thunder vs. Warriors Player Prop: Draymond Green o6.5 Total Rebounds (-137)

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