Clippers vs Warriors NBA Analysis, Odds, and Best Bet (4/13)

Sunday is the final day of the NBA regular season and every single team in the association is in action. We’ve go the Los Angeles Clippers taking on the Golden State Warriors in a game with heavy seeding implications. Let’s talk hoops.

Game Information

• Chase Center San Francisco, CA
• Los Angeles Clippers (49-32) visit the Golden State Warriors (48-33)
• Previous Matchup: LAC 102-92 December 27th, 2024

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Los Angeles Clippers @ Golden State Warriors

LA seeks their 50th win for just the 7th time in franchise history. The Clippers have only accomplished this feat last year and then 5 straight times during the Lob City years with Doc Rivers, Blake Griffin, Chris Paul, and DeAndre Jordan. This game is important for seeding but it assuredly is important for ownership and management who want to build up the franchise to rival the Lakers. Back-to-back 50 win seasons, including Intuit Dome’s inaugural season, would help that greatly.

The Clippers have been elite. They’ve won 7 straight as well as having just one loss in their last 10. Moreover, they haven’t lost back-to-back games since the first week of March. This is impressive out West. The tumultuous standings will continue to be volatile until all the games end Sunday. Based on a win or a loss, and other teams’ outcomes, the Clippers can finish as high as 4th or as low as 7th. That is the difference between hosting a Play-In game or having home court for round one. Absolutely ridiculously high stakes here.

Golden State has similar stakes as well. They could either end up 6th and in the playoffs or 7th and suffering a Play-In spot.

The Warriors are 7-3 in their last ten. They’re coming off a win in which they cruised past a Portland team that was not very pesky that night. Steve Kerr and his squad should come into this one as rested as you can be at this time of the year. Expect them to be sharp again as the sting of that loss to the Spurs continues. Harrison Barnes’ three at the buzzer really messed up the Warriors chance at better seeding.

NBA Game Analysis

These two basketball teams haven’t played one another since just after Christmas. At that time these teams were very different. Jimmy Butler was still feuding with Pat Riley in South Beach with the Heat. Furthermore, Kawhi Leonard still hadn’t returned from the knee injuries that have plagued his NBA career.

If the visitors from LA want a win here then they’ll have to bottle up the Chef. They have the capabilities to do so. The Clippers are 3rd as a team in steals, t-5th in opponent assist-to-turnover ratio, t-4th in opponent 3-point %. They also protect the paint, limit 2nd chance points, and get back to defend the break. The Clippers 4th ranked scoring defence is elite and in most cases defence travels. Furthermore, Ty Lue’s squad in number one ranked in defending points from the point guard spot.

The Clippers have a chance to rain down from deep. They’re 7th in the association shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc and Golden State is mediocre at defending there. The Warriors are just 17th in opponent 3-point % allowed.

However, it needs to be noted the Los Angeles Clippers have done a lot of damage inside of the Intuit Dome. Their home court advantage is for real. Consequently, they are just 19-21 on the road. Golden State has exactly half their wins at home. They are 24-16 inside the friendly confines of the Chase Center.

Defence Wins NBA Championships

This one likely turns into a defensive battle. Golden State may have Steph Curry but they are not elite on that side of the basketball. They are just the 19th ranked scoring offence. They heavily rely on 2nd chance points ranking 5th in that category. Unfortunately, the LA Clippers greatly limit 2nd chance points ranking 2nd at defending them. There is a real likelyhood that this game is a slog. Both teams are tied for 3rd in steals per game as a team. Both teams are also top 5 in opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. And to conclude, both teams are top ten in points in the paint allowed in the NBA.

Key Outlier.Bet Insights

• The LA Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. top 10 scoring defences.
• The over hit in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games vs. top 10 scoring defences.
• The Golden State Warriors are 10-3 in their last 13 games at home.

Check out our Championship odds piece!

NBA Best Bet: Kawhi Leonard o32.5 PRA (-120)

“The Klaw” has exceeded this line in 8 of his last 10 games. Head-to-head he’s hit this in back-to-back contests. He has been fantastic since returning.

Additionally, Kawhi Leonard has exceeded 1.5 three pointers in 5 straight games (2.4 three pointers/game average).

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