Bucks vs Celtics NBA Predictions, Odds, Props & Picks (12/6)

NBA fans will be treated to a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview in the form of Friday’s Milwaukee Bucks (11-10) vs. Boston Celtics (18-4) showdown. As usual, Betting News is your one-stop shop for all of your NBA betting needs — including today’s Bucks vs. Celtics predictions, odds, and best bets.

It’s the third and final meeting of the season between these foes, so will tonight’s outcome be different than the others?

Let’s discuss that as we dive into today’s Bucks vs. Celtics betting scribbles!

2024-25 NBA Game Predictions: 17-15-0 (53.1%)

2024-25 NBA Best Bet + Prop Record: 32-32-0 (50.0%)

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NBA Betting: Bucks vs Celtics Tonight (12/6)

Bucks vs Celtics Betting Information

• Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks (11-10, 3-6 Away) vs. Boston Celtics (18-4, 9-2 Home)
• Venue & Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA)
• Date: Friday, Dec. 6, 2024
• Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Bucks vs. Celtics: ESPN

Bucks vs Celtics NBA Betting Odds

All NBA odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, Dec. 6 at 11:00 a.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Bucks vs Celtics Spread

• Milwaukee Bucks +8 (-110)
• Boston Celtics -8 (-110)

Celtics vs Bucks Over/Under

• Over 227.5 Points (-105)
• Under 227.5 Points (-115)

Bucks vs Celtics Moneyline

• Milwaukee Bucks +265
• Boston Celtics -315

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Bucks vs Celtics NBA Betting Trends

• Milwaukee is 3-12 straight up in its last 15 road games.
• Boston is 8-3 straight up in its last 11 games vs. Milwaukee.
• Milwaukee is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games vs. Boston.
• Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. the Central Division.
• The total hit the Over in four of Milwaukee’s last six games.
• The total hit the Over in seven of Boston’s last 10 games played in December.

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Bucks vs Celtics NBA Predictions & Picks (12/6)

The Bucks head into tonight’s matchup looking to bounce back from Wednesday’s 119-104 loss to the Atlanta Hawks. The only issue is that winning will be tough against the Celtics, who’ve already had the Bucks’ number this year.

Boston first picked up a 119-108 win over Milwaukee at TD Garden back in October before earning a 113-107 victory at Fiserv Forum just two weeks later. With those wins, the Celtics are now a dominant 8-3 SU across their last 11 meetings with the Bucks.

If that isn’t impressive enough, the Celtics are also 6-1 SU with a plus-12.3 average scoring margin in their last seven home games against the Bucks. It’s hard to imagine that trend changing when Doc Rivers’ team has lost 12 of its last 15 road games dating back to the last season. In fact, they’re only 6-27 SU as away underdogs since the start of the 2022-23 NBA campaign.

For comparison, the Celtics are a league-best 90-23 SU as the home favorite during that stretch.

Can the Bucks prevent their recent road woes from worsening? 

The Celtics certainly hold the offensive advantage tonight, averaging 120.5 points per game (3rd) compared to the Bucks’ 113.6 PPG clip (12th). Milwaukee might be the more accurate team on the outside, however, it’s Boston that averages an NBA-high 19.1 threes made per game while the former puts up 15.1 (7th).

Additionally, the Bucks allow their opponents to shoot 36.3% from the three-point line (18th), which is good news for the Celtics if their shooters can have a hot start to the game.

The Celtics also have the edge when it comes to rebounding (11th vs. 22nd) and turnovers (2nd vs. 14th). Boston also takes fewer fouls than Milwaukee, further highlighting how the former is the more well-disciplined team.

Each team’s health could also factor into tonight’s outcome. The Celtics are somewhat banged up at the moment as Jayson Tatum (knee), Kristaps Porzingis (foot), and Al Horford (toe) are all questionable to play this evening.

Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is probable to play for the Bucks while MarJon Beauchamp (neck) and Khris Middleton (ankle) could be game-time decisions.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) will likely suit up for tonight’s Bucks vs. Celtics clash. 

With the way the first two games of the season series unfolded, all signs point to another Celtics victory. Not only has Joe Mazzulla’s team been dominant for the majority of the season, but the Celtics have also owned the Bucks’ number for years now. Milwaukee tends to struggle whenever it visits TD Garden and I don’t see that changing with how Boston has performed at home this year.

I’m also predicting that the Under on the 227.5-point total is the correct call. These teams failed to surpass that total in their first two meetings, averaging a combined 223.5 points per game. The Under is now 5-1 in the last six Bucks vs. Celtics matchups, highlighting how oddsmakers tend to overestimate the projected amount of offense between the franchises.

With the Bucks and Celtics both among the NBA’s 12 best teams when it comes to defensive efficiency, I think offensive expectations should be tempered tonight.

Bucks vs. Celtics NBA Prediction: BOS wins

Best Bucks vs. Celtics NBA Bet: u227.5 Total Points (-115)

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Best Bucks vs Celtics NBA Player Prop (12/6)

Even though his offensive numbers are below his usual output, I still like the idea of Jrue Holiday o10.5 points (-103) for tonight’s best Bucks vs. Celtics player prop bet.

I feel good about Holiday after a knee injury kept him out of the Celtics’ last two games. Before his injury, the veteran guard was averaging 11.9 points on .435/.302/.923 splits in his last 16 games. Although that’s far from the best efficiency, it’s worth noting that Holiday finished with the Over on this prop 10 times during that stretch — a 62.5% success rate.

I also like this prop because Holiday is averaging 18.0 PPG in two games against the Bucks this season, finishing with the Over against his former team both times. With Milwaukee also giving up the most points to guards this season, the two-time NBA All-Star has no excuse not to have a bounce-back performance tonight.

Best Bucks vs. Celtics Player Prop: Jrue Holiday o10.5 Points (-103)

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