Yankees vs Rays: Odds & Predictions | April 17, 2025

Yankees vs Rays: Two struggling arms and a load of elite bats set the stage for early fireworks in Tampa. Add in hitter-friendly weather, and this one has all the ingredients for a fast start.

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Yankees vs Rays Odds

Can Aaron Judge continue his early dominance?

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Runline

Yankees: +1.5 (-205)

Rays: -1.5 (+175)

Total

Over: 9 (+100)

Under: 9 (-120)

Moneyline

Yankees: -101

Rays: -109

Yankees vs Rays Best Bet

I would first like to issue a friendly warning to all of the lovely people who tune into the Betting News daily write-ups and say, “I never have any success betting first five totals.” Team totals I have had success with, but not when I need both teams to come together and get it rocking and rolling early. However, today I have to be on this play.

Two poor-rated pitchers. Eight elite-rated bats, none rated poor. Fourteen hitters above the league strikeout rate, only five above the league ground ball rate. The strikeouts are a concern, especially with how well Taj Bradley punches out hitters. However, he also allows 46% hard contact. On top of that, he holds the second worst average hitter matchup ISO on the day—only behind his opponent, Will Warren. The Yankees starter also has the worst average hitter matchup wOBA.

Warren has struggled in every start this season, allowing two or more runs in three straight outings. He carries a 5.14 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Bradley, on the other hand, has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP.

The Yankees lead the league in first five scoring, nearly averaging four runs through five innings. Meanwhile, the Rays are averaging 2.5. If both teams continue at that pace, this should be a breeze. Speaking of conditions, it should be around 83 degrees at first pitch at Steinbrenner Field, with 10 MPH winds blowing out to the short porch in right.

Hopefully, these two starters continue their early-season struggles, and we get to enjoy some hot bats piling on early runs

Best Bet: First Five Over 4.5 Runs (-122) at BetOnline)

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