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Twins vs. Athletics: Odds & Predictions | June 2, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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Twins vs. Athletics: Matt Wallner is back, and so is the value. The market continues to overlook his impact, even when the numbers do not. That is the kind of edge I look for.
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Last Month: 93-151 (+12.4u)
Last Week: 24-32 (+7.99u)
Twins vs. Athletics Odds
Will the Matt Wallner magic continue tonight in Sacramento?
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Run Line
Twins: -1.5 (-103)
Athletics: +1.5 (-117)
Total
Over: 9 (-115)
Under: 9 (-105)
Moneyline
Twins: -156
Athletics: +141
Twins vs. Athletics Best Bet
My muse is back. Matt Wallner is back after being sidelined for over a month. Why is he my favorite player? The books price his props like he is some scrub, but he is a five-tool player. Twins skipper Rocco Baldelli can slot him anywhere in the lineup and he will produce. Sportsbooks continue to list his hit prop lower than what I have here—even when he is leading off. He is too good to be this disrespected, but I love it.
Wallner has recorded a hit in each of his first two games since returning. Before the injury, he was batting over .304 with a .951 OPS in April. He has not missed a beat, and I am hoping he continues this hot stretch at the plate.
Today, the Twins’ stud enters with the second-highest rating on Batters-Box. In 60 elite-rated matchups, he has recorded at least one hit 63% of the time. In 19 road elite-rated matchups, he has recorded a hit 73% of the time, two hits 36%, and gone over his total bases prop 63% of the time.
The Athletics have Luis Severino on the mound tonight. He has struggled tremendously at home, carrying a 6.20 ERA and allowing a .274 opponent batting average. This season, he is giving up 5.5 hits and 1.6 extra-base hits per game. Against elite-rated hitters, Severino allows a hit 72% of the time. I love backing this trend whenever he is pitching.
The weather is once again ideal—80 degrees with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center. It is a great day for hitters.
The trends, the price, the matchup—it all makes the $1.50 hit prop worth a look. Hopefully, Wallner keeps swinging it.
Best Bet: Matt Wallner Hit (-150) odds via BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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