Sportsbook Promos
MLB Best Home Run Bets Today | April 3, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Home Run Best Bets: Finding value in home run props often comes down to trends, matchups, and the right odds. Two hitters stand out today—William Contreras and Matt Wallner—both off to slow starts but primed for a breakout. With strong historical numbers and favorable situations, they are well worth a shot to go deep.
Want more MLB content? Click this link.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always FREE.
Last Month Betting MLB: 20-32 (+1.34 Units)
Wednesday’s Card: 3-4 (+0.9 Units)
Astros vs Twins Home Run Bet
Can Matt Wallner turn it around against the Astros tonight?
Check out BetOnline’s New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
Minnesota Twins leadoff hitter Matt Wallner offers strong value on both his hit and home run props today. The Twins outfielder has not started the season hot, batting just .118 with only two hits so far. Still, I am a big fan of his and believe he will turn it around—especially with the added opportunities that come from hitting leadoff.
What stands out are his trends. With a Great rating on Batters-Box.com, Wallner records a hit 64% of the time and homers 35.71% of the time across a 14-game sample. Not the biggest sample, not the smallest. At greater than 5/1 odds, taking a chance on the leadoff hitter feels well worth it.
Best Bet: Matt Wallner Home Run (+520) BetOnline
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Bet
Can William Contreras get back on track with a home run against Nick Lodolo tonight?
Check out BetOnline’s New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
Another player in a slump: Brewers catcher William Contreras. Another player I expect to break out and go deep. He has fantastic numbers against left-handed pitchers, boasting a career .318 batting average and a .947 OPS. When carrying an elite rating on Batters-Box.com, Contreras records at least one hit 67% of the time across a 56-game sample. He also homers 12.5% of the time.
Despite hitting just .100 through the first week of the season, he remains one of the league’s better hitters. He is due for a breakout—hopefully, tonight against the Reds.
Best Bet: William Contreras Home Run (+550) BetOnline
Interested in More Content
Follow me on X @C_marchio2 for all of my picks and sports opinions!
Be sure to check out all things Betting News on X and Twitch!
While you are at it go get some merch at our Betting News Store!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below and sign-up for a bonus!
Check Out All of Our Resources at Betting News
Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
More MLB News on Betting News
MLB Betting News
Reds vs Brewers: Odds & Predictions | April 3, 2025
Colby Marchio
MLB Betting News
MLB Best Home Run Bets Today | April 2, 2025
Colby Marchio
MLB Betting News
MLB Best Bets Today | April 2, 2025
Colby Marchio
Free Betting Picks