Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals: MLB Best Bets (5/9)

We are back for some Friday Night Lights at Kauffman Stadium again tonight, and you know that means we’ve got another system play to hammer! The Boston Red Sox are in Kansas City taking on the Royals, and if you don’t know by now, you’re going to learn today, the Yals might be the best team at home on a Friday Night in the entire league. Let me explain.

For starters, the Royals are red hot. They are coming off a home sweep of the White Sox, and have actually won six straight games dating back to their series in Baltimore. Not only that, but since April 19th, Kansas City is 15-2. This team is streaking, seeing the ball well as of recently, and they are simply that much better at home.

The Red Sox have won two straight coming into this matchup, but they have lost their last two on the road. Despite being just two games behind the Yankees in the AL East, the 20-19 Red Sox are just 9-10 away from home. Pair that with the Royals home record of 15-5, and you might start questioning why Boston is a slight favorite in this matchup tonight.

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Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals: Friday Night at the K

Matchup Information – Red Sox vs Royals

• Venue & Location: Kauffman Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
• Date: Friday, May 9th, 2025
• First Pitch: 7:40pm Eastern

Pitching Matchup

• Boston Red Sox: Hunter Dobbins (2-1, 3.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP)
• Kansas City Royals: Michael Lorenzen (3-3, 4.23 ERA, 1.41 WHIP)

Betting Odds

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Run Line

• Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
• Royals +1.5 (-160)

Money Line

• Red Sox -113
• Royals +103

Total

• Over 9 (-105)
• Under 9 (-115)

I’ll sound like a broken record when pitching you this bet, but its a system that is working and there’s no reason to switch things up now. This system is now 2/2 this season on the ML and RL (Both plus money), while the TT is 1/2 this season but very effective over the last several games.

Let’s get in to our MLB Friday Night System.

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Best Bets

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction: Royals Win, Over 9

Best Bets: Royals ML (+103) BetOnline

It’s a very easy system. Back the Royals at home on a Friday Night. Let me get into the details.

Since June 30th, 2023, the Kansas City Royals have played 21 games at Kauffman Stadium on a Friday Night. In those 21 games, they have won 17 times, they have scored 5+ runs 16 times, and they’ve won by two runs 15 times. The history is clearly there, and honestly, that’s kind of all I’ve got to go off of.

All three of these bets, Royals ML, Royals TT Over 4.5, and Royals -1.5 are all listed at plus money currently, and all are hitting at a bare minimum of 71.4% over the past 21 game sample size.

The Royals hit .245 as a team, but that number jumps to .261 at Kauffman, and is up to .305 during the month of May. This team is on quite the hot streak right now, and I’m hoping that leads into some success for our System Play tonight at the K. As for the Red Sox, their team batting average drops nine points on the road, and this will be Dobbins’ first road start of the season.

Give me the Royals to light him up and give him a proper Midwest welcome at the K.

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