Longshot Horses to Watch in the 2025 Kentucky Derby

As the 151st Kentucky Derby approaches on May 3, 2025, bettors are eyeing potential underdogs poised to upset the favorites. While top contenders like Barnes and Citizen Bull dominate headlines, several longshots offer intriguing value for those seeking big payouts.

If you still need more information about the horses and betting odds for the 2025 Kentucky Derby, don’t fret. Check out our Kentucky Derby 2025 betting guide to help you familiarize all the events that will happen. We also have our expert picks to help you determine which one will finish the Derby first.

With that in mind, here are for the ​longshots in the 2025 Kentucky Derby:

1. Publisher (20-1)

Trainer Steve Asmussen, despite 26 Derby attempts without a win, enters Publisher, a veritable underdog. This colt, a son of American Pharoah, finished second in the Arkansas Derby. 

Notably, Publisher is a maiden—yet to win a race—but Asmussen praises his calm demeanor, stating he’s “extremely pleased” with the horse’s condition and temperament. ​

2. Burnham Square (8-1)

Burnham Square, with slightly favored odds, is gaining attention after an excellent showing in a number of Stake races. He was victorious in the Holy Bull Stakes and had a strong showing in the Fountain of Youth Stakes. 

Known for his closing speed, he could surprise during the race if the pace favors late runners. ​

3. Citizen Bull (20-1)

Citizen Bull enters the 2025 Kentucky Derby as a longshot due to his limited experience against top competition. Though he shows early speed, he has yet to win a major prep race.

Bob Baffert, a well-known horse trainer, believes in his potential but acknowledges his inconsistency. Meanwhile, jockey Joel Rosario will need to execute a perfect ride to contend.

To that end, Citizen Bull must prove he can handle the Derby’s pace and pressure. Bettors seeking value may take a chance on his untapped upside.

4. Sovereignty (9-2)

Sovereignty, with slightly favored odds, impressed with a win at the Fountain of Youth Stakes. His strong pedigree and closing ability suggest he could contend with the field’s heavy hitters.

However, Sovereignty’s trainer, Bill Mott, is concerned about his ability to handle the Derby’s demanding pace. To this end, jockey Flavien Prat will need to time his late charge perfectly.

Sovereignty’s closing style can be risky in a crowded field like the Derby. Bettors eye him as a wildcard with potential for a strong finish.​

5. Chunk of Gold (20-1)

Chunk of Gold, a consistent longshot, consistently places well and finished second in the Louisiana Derby. As a deep closer, he might sneak into the superfecta if the race unfolds favorably.

While favorites often dominate the Derby, these longshots have the potential to disrupt expectations. Bettors looking for value should consider these underdogs when placing their wagers.

And there you have it – here are our picks for the longshots bettors need to look out for. Check our expert horse racing information hub that has the latest news about free picks in the Kentucky Derby. 

Once you’ve got which horse to bet on, check our reviews of the best horse racing betting sites. This way, you’d maximize your bets and increase your odds of winning!