Keeneland Picks- Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (4/5/2025) [RESCHEDULED]

The racing action from Keeneland on Saturday features the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!

With heavy rains forecasted for Kentucky, Keeneland has officially rescheduled this card for Tuesday, April 8th, 2025. Racing sequences, program numbers, and morning line odds remain unchanged.

Full Card Analysis

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Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #2 CAMP HALE (6-5): Best bet of the card. Has the speed figures to compete against runners at this level. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

• #8 INVICTUS (6-1): Contender. Jockey is a good bet to be in the money.

• #5 SOCK IT TO ME (30-1): Contender. Decent connections behind this runner.

• #4 CALL SHADD (15-1): Contender. Going to try against a bit tougher here.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 5 – 4

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/8 Miles on Turf; Field of 12 runners.

• #9 FATEFUL LIGHTNING (3-1): Top Pick. Boasts the top last speed figure in the field.

• #4 SPECIAL SESSION (12-1): Fringe Contender. Horse should run fresh off the bench.

• #3 KICKING CLEAR (15-1): Fringe Contender. Not far off the top speed figures in the race.

• #5 COURAGEOUS CLAY (10-1): Fringe Contender. Solid hit-the-board type of runner.

Selections: 9 – 4 – 3 – 5

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:04 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $120k; 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #7 TIP TOP THOMAS (2-1): Top Pick. Has the speed figures to compete against runners at this level.

• #9 GUNMETAL (8-5): Factor for win. Horse loves to hit the board.

• #2 RETRIBUTION (4-1): Contender. Deserved step up in class after the last finish against lesser.

• #3 BRODEUR (6-1): Contender. Will try to get loose on the lead and stay on.

Selections: 7 – 9 – 2 – 3

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Allowance $140k; 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Field of 15 runners.

• #12 NORTHERN INVADER (2-1): Major Player. Drops in class for this effort. May be finding their friends in this spot.

• #2 WEST HOLLYWOOD (9-2): Major Player. This one is dropping in class here.

• #11 SMOKEY MANDATE (20-1): Major Player. Should appreciate the easier competition today.

• #1 IRISH ACES (3-1): Major Player. Has been a pretty good bet to be in the gimmicks but doesn’t win much.

Selections: 12 – 2 – 11 – 1

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:08 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #4 PITKIN (5-2): Prime Player. Has the speed figures to compete against runners at this level.

• #1 MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE (30-1): Next likeliest. Draws well from this post.

• #10 DEVELOPMENT FEE (15-1): Worth a look. Steps up in class for this effort.

• #12 INTERCEPTOR (5-1): Underneath in exotics. Has been a pretty good bet to be in the gimmicks but doesn’t win much.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 10 – 12

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:40 PM ET; Appalachian Stakes Presented by Japan Racing Association $500k; 1 Mile on Turf; Field of 10 runners.

• #1 NITROGEN (2-1): Major Player. Has the speed figures to compete against runners at this level.

• #6 TOTALLY JUSTIFIED (6-1): Major Player. Horse loves to hit the board.

• #8 LUSH LIPS (5-1): Major Player. Fast enough to get the job done.

• #2 VIXEN (3-1): Major Player. Making the third start off the layoff.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 8 – 2

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:14 PM ET; Commonwealth Stakes $350k; 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #11 WHATCHATALKINABOUT (4-1): Prime Player. Has the speed figures to compete against runners at this level.

• #2 MONTALCINO (3-1): Contender. Jockey is a good bet to be in the money.

• #6 HOIST THE GOLD (9-2): Contender. Decent late pace figures.

• #8 HERE MI SONG (8-1): Contender. Post that should allow this one to run a good race.

Selections: 11 – 2 – 6 – 8

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:48 PM ET; Resolute Racing Madison Stakes $650k; 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #6 SCYLLA (8-5): Prime Player. Has the speed figures to compete against runners at this level.

• #7 JUSTIQUE (9-2): Contender. Makes the second start after returning off the bench.

• #8 MYSTIC LAKE (7-2): Contender. Steps up in class for this effort.

• #2 EMERY (3-1): Contender. Horse has decent connections for today’s contest.

Selections: 6 – 7 – 8 – 2

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:20 PM ET; Valvoline Global Shakertown Stakes $400k; 5 1/2 Furlongs on Turf; Field of 11 runners.

• #5 VALENTINE CANDY (6-1): Major Player. Boasts the top last speed figure in the field.

• #8 PETCOFF (20-1): Major Player. Has run to the class par in the past.

• #1 RUN CARSON (6-1): Major Player. Horse has a knack for hitting the trifecta.

• #10 COPPOLA (6-1): Major Player. Going to try against a bit tougher here.

Selections: 5 – 8 – 1 – 10

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:52 PM ET; Toyota Blue Grass Stakes $1,250k; 1 1/8 Miles on Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #2 RENDER JUDGMENT (20-1): Live longshot play of the day. Boasts the top last speed figure in the field. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.

• #1 RIVER THAMES (5-2): Contender. Good connections send this one out.

• #6 CHANCER MCPATRICK (7-2): Contender. Deserved step up in class after the last finish against lesser.

• #3 BURNHAM SQUARE (9-2): Contender. The post should be good for this runner.

Selections: 2 – 1 – 6 – 3

Keeneland Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 6:26 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 14 runners.

• #1 SEAPORT LANE (2-1): Top Pick. Goes out for dominant connections here.

• #8 MAP TO THE STARS (5-1): Contender. The last race is among the top figures in the field.

• #5 RUN JALEN RUN (12-1): Contender. Steps up in class for this effort.

• #12 THEISMANN (20-1): Contender. Returns to the races after taking a bit of time off.

Selections: 1 – 8 – 5 – 12

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Friday Analysis

• Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Ashland Stakes offering Kentucky Oaks points- Due to incoming storms, Keeneland has announced that this card will be run on Monday, April 7th, 2025

Saturday Analysis

• Aqueduct Picks featuring the Grade 2 Wood Memorial Stakes Kentucky Derby Prep points
• Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes offering Kentucky Derby Prep points Due to incoming storms, Keeneland has announced that this card will be run on Tuesday, April 8th, 2025
• Santa Anita Picks featuring the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby offering Kentucky Derby Prep points

Sunday Analysis

• Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 2 MiddleGround Capital Beaumont

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