Keeneland Picks- Closing Friday Analysis (4/25/2025)

The racing action from Keeneland on Friday features the Bewitch Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.

Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:30 PM ET; Claiming $49k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #3 DAY DAWNING (7-5): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot. Barn has been solid.

• #6 ASH WEDNESDAY (2-1): Contender. Trainer is having a great meet. Likely to get forward position.

• #2 CHAMPAGNE ON ICE (6-1): Worth a look. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Speed figs match up nicely.

• #5 CEEBEE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 5

The Plays

• Win: #3 at 3-2 or better
• Exacta: 3/2,4,5,6
• Trifecta: 3/2,6/2,4,5,6

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:01 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #9 CINNAMON SUGAR (20-1): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort.

• #15 ESTRELLA SILVER (30-1): Major Player. Likely to take a step forward.

• #12 STORM CLOUD RISING (20-1): Contender. Should step forward from the first start. Barn has been sending out runners.

• #3 SWEET ESPRESSO (50-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.

Selections: 9 – 15 – 12 – 3

The Plays

• Win/Place/Show: #9

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $54k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #5 VICKI ROSE (9-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 78 speed rating which is among the top in the group.

• #3 SPLENDID (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Good race flow for this runner. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.

• #7 RAGTIME SIZZLE (7-2): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.

• #2 SCYTHIA (5-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 7 – 2

The Plays

• Win: #5 at 2-1 or better
• Win: #3 at 2-1 or better
• Exacta Box: 3,5,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:03 PM ET; Claiming $57k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #1 HIGHER STANDARD (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Fits well with this group.

• #7 UNCASHED (5-2): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Should take a liking to the race shape.

• #4 FORGIVING SPIRIT (6-1): Worth a look. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Barn has been sending out runners.

• #5 JUNIOR BUG (9-2): Fringe Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 4 – 5

The Plays

• Win: #1 at 2-1 or better
• Win: #7 at 2-1 or better
• Exacta Box: 1,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:34 PM ET; Allowance $130k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

• #2 BUTTERCREAM BABE (9-2): Prime Win Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Races competitive with the top contenders.

• #8 SWEET REBECCA (7-2): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #1 DEEP SATIN (3-1): Worth a look. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race. Could wear these ones down late.

• #4 GHOSTLY GAL (20-1): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Fast enough on paper to compete.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 1 – 4

The Plays

• Win: #2 at 9-5 or better
• Exacta: 2/3,4
• Trifecta: 2/3,4,8/1,3,4,8

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:05 PM ET; Allowance $120k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #1 TIARELLA (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Should be able to work out a trip.

• #5 SAM’S TREASURE (2-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Good race flow for this runner.

• #3 ZADORSKY (3-1): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Barn has been sending out runners.

• #4 ROMAN GRACE (15-1): Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 1 – 5 – 3 – 4

The Plays

• Win: #1 at 3-1 or better
• Exacta Key Box: 1/3,5

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:36 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #2 CAMPAIGN TRAIL (10-1): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Comes in with solid form.

• #9 WHITE WHALE (8-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Should take a liking to the race shape.

• #7 LIFES REWARD (5-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.

• #5 ARTHUR JR (20-1): Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 2 – 9 – 7 – 5

The Plays

• Win: #2 at 3-1 or better
• Exacta Box: 2,7,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:07 PM ET; Bewitch Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales $350k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

• #2 IMMENSITUDE (5-2): Prime Win Player. Looks good based on the 89 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Stamina to outlast the competition.

• #3 FOREVER AFTER ALL (9-5): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #8 STRIKINGLY SPUN (8-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. Should sit a good trip.

• #1 DAZZLIN’ DICTATOR (20-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 8 – 1

The Plays

• Win: #2 at 8-5 or better
• Exacta: 2/1,3,8
• Trifecta: 2/1,3,8/1,3,8
• Pick 3: 2/1/2,4,11,13

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:38 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $140k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #1 UNMATCHED WISDOM (6-5): Best bet of the card. Fits well with this group. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

• #7 BLACK POWDER (8-1): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Seems to be up against the right competition.

• #2 WILL TAKE IT (4-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.

• #9 DUBYUHNELL (6-1): Fringe Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 2 – 9

The Plays

• Win: #1 at 8-5 or better
• Exacta: 1/2,7,9
• Trifecta: 1/2,7/2,3,7,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:09 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #4 TEMPUS VOLAT (12-1): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot.

• #11 SUMOOD (4-1): Fringe Contender. Running well of late. Seems to be up against the right competition.

• #2 SWEET FREEDOM (15-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.

• #13 VIVALDI (7-2): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 4 – 11 – 2 – 13

The Plays

• Win/Place/Show: #4
• Exacta Box:  2,4,11,13

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