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Keeneland Picks- Ashland Stakes (4/4/2025) [RESCHEDULED]

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The racing action from Keeneland on Friday features the Central Bank Ashland Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!

With heavy rains forecasted for Kentucky, Keeneland has officially rescheduled this card for Monday, April 7th, 2025. Racing sequences, program numbers, and morning line odds remain unchanged.

Full Card Analysis

Keeneland Picks- Ashland Stakes (4/4/2025) [RESCHEDULED]

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Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 4 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 13 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

#1 LILY’S ARMY (15-1): Live longshot play of the day. Solid connections behind this one. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
#3 MONSTER (4-1): Next likeliest. Good connections send this one out.
#2 EL HALCON (30-1): Worth a look. Figures suggest this one can run with these.
#4 TIEMPOS BUENOS (30-1): Underneath in exotics. Going to try against a bit tougher here.

Selections: 1 – 3 – 2 – 4

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Allowance $140k; 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Field of 9 runners.

#4 READY FOR SHIRL (8-1): Major Player. Should be in good form 3rd off the layoff.
#6 SPALIDAY (5-2): Major Player. Good connections send this one out.
#2 AMBER CASCADE (12-1): Major Player. Should appreciate the easier competition in this spot.
#1 MISSION OF JOY (7-2): Major Player. Returns to the races after a layoff.

Selections: 4 – 6 – 2 – 1

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:04 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $120k; 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

#3 SHOOT IT TRUE (9-5): Prime Player. Could be the best of the speed in this spot.
#8 LYNN’S MILKY WAY (7-2): Contender. Jockey is a good bet to be in the money.
#4 NAIVE MELODY (15-1): Contender. Decent late pace figures.
#2 VELVET VORTEX (5-2): Contender. Returns to the races after taking a bit of time off.

Selections: 3 – 8 – 4 – 2

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/8 Miles on Turf; Field of 16 runners.

#11 HEREFORAGOODTIME (4-1): Top Pick. Should be in good form 3rd off the layoff.
#13 HIDEAWAY (7-2): Contender. Jockey is a good bet to be in the money.
#7 GREEN JOBS (6-1): Contender. Deserved step up in class after the last finish against lesser.
#1 STRAIGHT FORWARD (8-1): Contender. Returns to the races after a layoff.

Selections: 11 – 13 – 7 – 1

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:08 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 13 runners.

#11 UNWAVERING TRUST (5-2): Prime Player. Looks to be dominant on speed figures against this group.
#4 LA NEIGE (15-1): Fringe Contender. May be able to run away and hide from these.
#3 IVORY AND EBONY (10-1): Fringe Contender. May sit a trip from the post.
#6 MIDNIGHT MYTH (8-1): Fringe Contender. Midpack type that could hold on if the pace melts down.

Selections: 11 – 4 – 3 – 6

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:40 PM ET; Allowance $130k; 1 Mile on Turf; Field of 13 runners.

#4 WICO (8-1): Top Pick. Looks to be dominant on speed figures against this group.
#7 EL REZEEN (6-1): Factor for win. Has among the best late pace figures in the field.
#3 AMERICAN HOPE (12-1): Worth a look. Jockey hits the board at a good clip.
#1 OCEAN POINTE (30-1): Underneath in exotics. Should have the sustained speed to keep up with these late.

Selections: 4 – 7 – 3 – 1

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:12 PM ET; Lafayette Stakes $400k; 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

#2 COLLOQUIAL (6-5): Best bet of the card. Looks to be dominant on speed figures against this group. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
#8 ROLANDO (8-1): Contender. Good connections send this one out.
#1 GUNMETAL (3-1): Contender. Comes in fresh off the layoff.
#3 SMOKEN WICKED (10-1): Contender. Faces easier in this spot.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 1 – 3

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:44 PM ET; Transylvania Stakes Presented by Keeneland Select $600k; 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Field of 16 runners.

#2 REAGAN’S WIT (4-1): Top Pick. Runs second off the layoff and should be fit following the recent start.
#11 MI BAGO (3-1): Factor for win. Good connections send this one out.
#8 SCIPIO (6-1): Worth a look. Jockey hits the board at a good clip.
#13 BARRICADE (8-1): Underneath in exotics. Solid finish against weaker last out. Will try against the next level here.

Selections: 2 – 11 – 8 – 13

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 5:16 PM ET; Central Bank Ashland Stakes $750k; 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

#3 SUPA SPEED (4-1): Prime Player. Looks to be dominant on speed figures against this group.
#2 LA CARA (9-2): Contender. Has among the best late pace figures in the field.
#4 MUHIMMA (9-5): Contender. Decent late pace figures.
#5 RUNNING AWAY (3-1): Contender. Should have the sustained speed to keep up with these late.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 4 – 5

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:48 PM ET; Starter Allowance $63k; About 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

#11 GOLDEN IRISH (7-2): Prime Player. Could be the best of the speed in this spot.
#14 AUTUMN RHYTHM (6-1): Factor for win. This one is dropping in class here.
#9 ROYAL PRINCESS (10-1): Factor for win. The post may allow this one to work out a decent trip.
#16 SHERBINI (2-1): Factor for win. Jockey hits the board at a high rate.

Selections: 11 – 14 – 9 – 16

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Chris Adams

Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.

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Keeneland Picks- Ashland Stakes (4/4/2025) [RESCHEDULED]