Churchill Downs Picks- Mamzelle Stakes (5/10/2025)

The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Mamzelle Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:45 PM ET; Starter Allowance $60k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #5 GRAY FROST (5-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.

• #4 SAVANNAMARIE (9-5): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Trainer is having a great meet.

• #1 SHE’S SO SHINY (3-1): Worth a look. Has been running well enough recently. Not likely to be short in the stretch.

• #7 CALISUE (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 4 – 1 – 7

The Plays

• Win: #5 Gray Frost at 5-2

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 5 over 4, 1 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:14 PM ET; Claiming $62k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #6 AIR OF DEFIANCE (7-2): Best bet of the card. Comes in with solid form. Looks good based on the 92 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

• #5 GOLDENTOWN (3-1): Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition.

• #4 ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS (12-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.

• #1 NOBLE GENTLEMAN (8-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 6 – 5 – 4 – 1

The Plays

• Win: #6 Air of Defiance at 7-2

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 6 over 5, 4 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:43 PM ET; Claiming $58k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #6 MANABI (5-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Barn has been solid.

• #7 NOT NORMAL (3-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.

• #5 TIVERTON (4-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Hard to argue with the recent races.

• #4 GOD OF WINE (9-2): Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 6 – 7 – 5 – 4

The Plays

• Win: #6 Manabi at 5-2

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 6 over 7, 5 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:14 PM ET; Claiming $60k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #2 AWESOME ANNMARIE (5-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.

• #1 SELF ISOLATION (3-1): Major Player. Stamina to be in the mix late.

• #8 NEVER SWAY (4-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.

• #4 BEAU SOLEIL (8-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.

Selections: 2 – 1 – 8 – 4

The Plays

• Win: #2 Awesome Annmarie at 5-2

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 2 over 1, 8 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:46 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #16 SOMETHING STRONGER (10-1): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot.

• #2 GUM (7-2): Fringe Contender. Productive recent form. Can run with these.

• #13 TEMPTING EVE (4-1): Underneath. Previous success in similar race types.

• #6 IN THE STARS (12-1): Underneath. Ran at this level last out. Recent races are solid.

Selections: 16 – 2 – 13 – 6

The Plays

• Win: #16 Something Stronger at 10-1

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 16 over 2, 13 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:18 PM ET; Claiming $45k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #1 MR PUK (3-1): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Should be able to work out a trip.

• #6 CRITICAL THREAT (4-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Good race flow for this runner.

• #9 APPEAL DENIED (5-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Potential to have this pace fall just right.

• #8 JUNIOR BUG (6-1): Fringe Contender. High level trainer on side. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 9 – 8

The Plays

• Win: #1 Mr Puk at 3-1

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 1 over 6, 9 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:51 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $57k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #8 TIZ MY HERO (9-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.

• #5 PED D’ORO (6-1): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner.

• #6 BATTER UP (6-1): Worth a look. Barn has been sending out runners.

• #7 VENIK (8-1): Fringe Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 8 – 5 – 6 – 7

The Plays

• Win: #8 Tiz My Hero at 9-2

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 8 over 5, 6 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:23 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #8 AMERICAN HOPE (9-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.

• #15 GRAND ASPEN (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Good race flow for this runner. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.

• #5 ST. ARMANDS KEY (4-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Previous success in similar race types.

• #6 CLYDE’S GOT A GUN (20-1): Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Trainer’s horses have been running.

Selections: 8 – 15 – 5 – 6

The Plays

• Win: #8 American Hope at 9-2

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 8 over 15, 5 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Allowance $127k; 1 3/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #1 GUN PARTY (3-1): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.

• #2 WELAKA (5-2): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #5 ORIZZONTE (9-2): Contender. Could wear these ones down late. Previous success in similar race types.

• #8 MCILROY (7-2): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 5 – 8

The Plays

• Win: #1 Gun Party at 3-1

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 1 over 2, 5 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:27 PM ET; Mamzelle Stakes $225k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 17 runners.

• #14 ME GOVERNOR (12-1): Prime Win Player. Should be able to work out a trip.

• #6 DREAMAWAY (6-1): Fringe Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

• #9 SHISOSPICY (5-2): Worth a look. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. Previous success in similar race types.

• #4 KILWIN (8-1): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 14 – 6 – 9 – 4

The Plays

• Win: #14 Me Governor at 12-1

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 14 over 6, 9 ($2)

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:58 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $92k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #10 VELOCIRAPTOR (4-1): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance.

• #3 REDACTED (3-1): Major Player. This colt debuts at low odds. Backside buzz?

• #8 MO WORK (8-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. Not likely to be short in the stretch.

• #4 KEEPING THE FAITH (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 10 – 3 – 8 – 4

The Plays

• Win: #10 Velociraptor at 4-1

• Exacta: $1 Exacta 10 over 3, 8 ($2)

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Saturday Analysis

• Belmont at the Big A Picks featuring the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes
• Churchill Downs Picks featuring the Grade 3 Mamzelle Stakes
• Gulfstream Park Picks featuring the Royal Palm Juvenile Stakes
• Monmouth Park Picks featuring the Long Branch Stakes
• Santa Anita Park Picks featuring the Siren Lure Stakes